Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.012975 0.014630 0.016308 0.018130 0.020047 0.021998 0.024130
2025-05-04 0.009629 0.012125 0.014781 0.017787 0.021065 0.024509 0.028376
2025-05-11 0.007965 0.010906 0.014148 0.017918 0.022126 0.026628 0.031764
2025-05-18 0.006557 0.009768 0.013430 0.017800 0.022773 0.028175 0.034416
2025-05-25 0.005284 0.008627 0.012579 0.017411 0.023013 0.029184 0.036392
2025-06-01 0.004347 0.007783 0.011988 0.017245 0.023437 0.030340 0.038476
2025-06-08 0.003494 0.006944 0.011325 0.016930 0.023637 0.031196 0.040182
2025-06-15 0.002915 0.006399 0.010977 0.016951 0.024192 0.032427 0.042283
2025-06-22 0.002284 0.005698 0.010374 0.016615 0.024289 0.033102 0.043727
2025-06-29 0.001677 0.004935 0.009630 0.016056 0.024082 0.033395 0.044707
2025-07-06 0.001098 0.004095 0.008708 0.015217 0.023495 0.033212 0.045108
2025-07-13 0.000905 0.003891 0.008660 0.015495 0.024264 0.034615 0.047337
2025-07-20 0.000586 0.003389 0.008185 0.015250 0.024449 0.035408 0.048963
2025-07-27 0.000314 0.002861 0.007630 0.014883 0.024486 0.036039 0.050426
2025-08-03 0.000184 0.002598 0.007455 0.015011 0.025129 0.037383 0.052709
2025-08-10 0.000073 0.002264 0.007126 0.014902 0.025451 0.038325 0.054507
2025-08-17 0.000007 0.001872 0.006646 0.014546 0.025433 0.038837 0.055782
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001592 0.006323 0.014394 0.025665 0.039642 0.057395
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001298 0.005925 0.014106 0.025701 0.040193 0.058692
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001125 0.005741 0.014125 0.026135 0.041231 0.060570
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000883 0.005360 0.013817 0.026116 0.041693 0.061742
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000627 0.004870 0.013307 0.025800 0.041768 0.062436
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000369 0.004253 0.012544 0.025108 0.041348 0.062510